Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1335 LANDED 2:46 PM ET, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Yesterday

MX 1335 · MCO → ORF

took off 1:14 PM ET · landed 2:46 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at MCO that day

↑ Other factors

↑ 1pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ORF usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1335 · MCO → ORF

Odds over time