Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

BREEZE · FLIGHT MX 1338 LANDED 6:30 PM ET, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

MX 1338 · TPA → CMH

took off 4:38 PM ET · landed 6:30 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from TPA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.01 in

CMH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1338 · TPA → CMH

Odds over time