MX 1373 · SBD → PVU

took off 7:54 PM PT · expected to land 10:16 PM MT (scheduled 7:43 PM PT → 10:38 PM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PVU more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PVU?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into PVU at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVU

↓ 7pm departures from SBD are usually not late

Weather at each end

SBD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 1373 · SBD → PVU

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVU?