MX 579 · EWN → BDL

departs 8:47 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into BDL at that hour are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at EWN that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWN (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MX 579 · EWN → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?