Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AIR NEW ZEALAND · FLIGHT NZ 5 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

NZ 5 · LAX → AKL

departs 9:39 PM PT · arrives 5:33 AM NZDT

Your aircraft is ZKOKP (B77W).

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at AKL more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AKL (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

NZ 5 · LAX → AKL

Odds over time