Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5044 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5044 · DFW → JAN

departs 10:40 PM CT · arrives 12:11 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at JAN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±3 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to JAN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

JAN (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5044 · DFW → JAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to JAN?