Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5115 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5115 · DFW → CHA

departs 4:30 PM CT · arrives 7:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CHA?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CHA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5115 · DFW → CHA

Odds over time

How late will it get to CHA?