OH 5173 · IAH → DFW

departs 10:39 AM CT · arrives 12:00 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 10am departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at IAH that day

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5173 · IAH → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?