OH 5204 · PHL → SAV

departs 8:50 AM ET · arrives 10:57 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Arrivals into SAV at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,933 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SAV (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.46 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5204 · PHL → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?