OH 5212 · PHL → TYS

took off 9:54 AM ET · landed 11:24 AM ET (scheduled 8:47 AM ET → 10:47 AM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to TYS?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5212 · PHL → TYS

Odds over time

How late did it get to TYS?