OH 5291 · PHL → MHT

departs 10:11 PM ET · arrives 11:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MHT?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 10pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at PHL that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

MHT (destination) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5291 · PHL → MHT

Odds over time

How late will it get to MHT?