OH 5303 · DFW → ECP

departs 7:18 PM CT · arrives 9:23 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

38% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 2.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at ECP that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip2.47 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5303 · DFW → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?