OH 5317 · PHL → PVD

took off 10:00 PM ET · expected to land 10:42 PM ET (scheduled 10:08 PM ET → 11:36 PM ET)

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PVD more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PVD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PVD usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

PVD (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5317 · PHL → PVD

Odds over time

How late will it get to PVD?