OH 5347 · PHL → STL

departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:38 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
25%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at STL

↓ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at PHL that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5347 · PHL → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?