Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5434 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5434 · CLE → PHL

departs 6:29 AM ET · arrives 8:02 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 333 ft forecast at PHL that day

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLE (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

PHL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5434 · CLE → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?