OH 5434 · DFW → MAF

departs 10:39 PM CT · arrives 12:02 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at MAF more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MAF?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into MAF at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MAF (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5434 · DFW → MAF

Odds over time

How late will it get to MAF?