OH 5451 · PHL → GSP

departs 5:46 PM ET · arrives 7:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at GSP more than 15 minutes late?

53% chance · ±0 pts +15 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GSP?

On time or early
47%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at GSP that day

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

GSP (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5451 · PHL → GSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to GSP?