Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5454 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5454 · PHL → MSY

departs 7:44 PM ET · arrives 10:10 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at PHL that day

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling233 ft Visibility5.66667 mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5454 · PHL → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?