Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5474 LANDED 11:48 AM CT, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OH 5474 · PHL → MKE

took off 10:56 AM ET · landed 11:48 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at MKE more than 15 minutes late?

30% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ PHL is busy at that time

↑ PHL is prone to delays

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

MKE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5474 · PHL → MKE

Odds over time