OH 5511 · PHL → PNS

departs 10:42 AM ET · arrives 12:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at PNS more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PNS?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at PNS that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into PNS at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,933 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PNS (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.69 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5511 · PHL → PNS

Odds over time

How late will it get to PNS?