Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5513 IN THE AIR (OFF 4:00 PM ET, ETA 4:55 PM ET) · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OH 5513 · PVD → PHL

took off 4:00 PM ET · expected to land 4:55 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±1 pts +17 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at PVD that day

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5513 · PVD → PHL

Odds over time