Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5631 LANDED 3:16 PM EDT, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OH 5631 · PHL → YQB

took off 1:58 PM ET · landed 3:16 PM EDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at YQB more than 15 minutes late?

43% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precipnone

YQB (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5631 · PHL → YQB

Odds over time