Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5640 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

OH 5640 · CMH → PHL

departs 10:40 AM ET · arrives 12:15 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CMH

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CMH (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5640 · CMH → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?