Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5651 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5 Tomorrow

OH 5651 · ECP → DFW

departs 6:56 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 5:00 AM ET · 39h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 41% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↓ ECP usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

ECP (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility6.66667 mi Precip1.22 in

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5651 · ECP → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?