OO 3117 · ACV → SEA

took off 4:27 PM PT · landed 5:46 PM PT (scheduled 3:14 PM PT → 4:57 PM PT)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ACV that day

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ ACV is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

ACV (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3117 · ACV → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?