OO 3120 · DEN → SAN

departs 9:48 AM MT · arrives 11:18 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

93% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3120 · DEN → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?