OO 3315 · SEA → GEG

departs 8:54 AM PT · arrives 10:09 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GEG?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi forecast at SEA that day

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG

↓ Arrivals into GEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

GEG (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3315 · SEA → GEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to GEG?