OO 3422 · SEA → IDA

departs 8:13 PM PT · arrives 11:08 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at IDA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IDA?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 8pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ IDA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

IDA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3422 · SEA → IDA

Odds over time

How late will it get to IDA?