Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3464 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OO 3464 · SAN → AUS

departs 11:07 AM PT · arrives 3:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +32 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUS (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling3,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3464 · SAN → AUS

Odds over time