OO 3698 · SEA → YVR

departs 8:26 PM PT · arrives 9:33 PM PDT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YVR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3698 · SEA → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?