Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3824
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
OO 3824 · GEG → SEA
departs 11:30 AM PT · arrives 12:54 PM PT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 11%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 11%
Thu 10/8 16%
Fri 10/9 13%
Sat 10/10 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.