OO 3887 · YVR → SEA

departs 7:38 PM PDT · arrives 8:38 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

67% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
32%
15–30 min late
39%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at YVR that day

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3887 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?