Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3978 LANDED 11:44 AM ET, ~11 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OO 3978 · LEX → DTW

took off 10:49 AM ET · landed 11:44 AM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ LEX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LEX

↓ 10am departures from LEX are usually not late

Weather at each end

LEX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DTW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3978 · LEX → DTW

Odds over time