OO 4701 · DEN → OTH

departs 11:30 AM MT · arrives 1:46 PM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at OTH more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OTH?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at OTH that day

↑ 11am departures from DEN are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OTH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4701 · DEN → OTH

Odds over time

How late will it get to OTH?