OO 4747 · ORD → SGF

departs 9:27 PM CT · arrives 11:05 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SGF (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4747 · ORD → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?