Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4916
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5 Tomorrow
OO 4916 · ORD → FNT
departs 9:17 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FNT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at FNT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FNT?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
9pm departures from ORD are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at FNT
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
FNT (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.