OO 4982 · MAF → DFW

took off 11:31 AM CT · expected to land 12:18 PM CT (scheduled 10:43 AM CT → 12:14 PM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

55% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to DFW?

LIVE

On time or early
45%
15–30 min late
46%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

↓ 10am departures from MAF are usually not late

Weather at each end

MAF (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.02 in

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4982 · MAF → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?