Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5022
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
OO 5022 · IAD → JST
departs 12:45 PM ET · arrives 1:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 2:00 AM ET · 59h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JST more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at JST more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JST?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 25% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into JST at that hour are often late
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
JST usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
IAD (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip none
JST (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.