OO 5274 · IAH → SGF

departs 4:47 PM CT · arrives 6:34 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SGF?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility8.6 mi Precip0.04 in

SGF (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5274 · IAH → SGF

Odds over time

How late will it get to SGF?