OO 5354 · IAH → ECP

departs 8:36 PM CT · arrives 10:40 PM CT

Your aircraft is N144SY (E75L), coming in as OO 4700 from CMH: landed 6:37 PM CT.

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 4.9 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,700 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

ECP (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip4.84 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5354 · IAH → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?