OO 5447 · SFO → OTH

departs 9:09 AM PT · arrives 10:46 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at OTH more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OTH?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.1 mi forecast at OTH that day

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Arrivals into OTH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

OTH (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5447 · SFO → OTH

Odds over time

How late will it get to OTH?