Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5530 LANDED 4:56 PM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OO 5530 · ORD → MSN

took off 4:27 PM CT · landed 4:56 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 3pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSN

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5530 · ORD → MSN

Odds over time