OO 6015 · TUL → IAH

departs 1:58 PM CT · arrives 3:55 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±5 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Early flights usually leave on time

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TUL

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TUL (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6015 · TUL → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?