OO 6185 · PHX → IAH

departs 12:47 PM MT · arrives 5:29 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9.5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6185 · PHX → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?