OO 6314 · ELP → LAX

departs 6:09 PM MT · arrives 7:21 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 2:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ELP

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

Weather at each end

ELP (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6314 · ELP → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?