Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6316 LANDED 1:10 PM CT, ~5 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

OO 6316 · PHX → FSD

took off 8:56 AM MT · landed 1:10 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into FSD at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FSD (destination) Gusts27 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6316 · PHX → FSD

Odds over time