OO 6442 · ASE → DFW

departs 12:58 PM MT · arrives 4:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

45% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ ASE is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ASE (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6442 · ASE → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?