OO 6442 · DFW → ASE

departs 11:07 AM CT · arrives 12:45 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ASE more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ASE?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ 11am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ASE

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ASE (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6442 · DFW → ASE

Odds over time

How late will it get to ASE?