Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2130 LANDED 3:00 PM EDT, ~19 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PD 2130 · EWR → YTZ

took off 1:38 PM ET · landed 3:00 PM EDT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at YTZ more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ EWR is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YTZ at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

YTZ (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2130 · EWR → YTZ

Odds over time