Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PORTER · FLIGHT PD 2143 LANDED 9:33 PM ET, ~23 MIN EARLY · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Monday, October 5 Today

PD 2143 · YTZ → EWR

took off 8:29 PM EDT · landed 9:33 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

47% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↑ Gusts to 30 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at EWR that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 8pm departures from YTZ are usually not late

Weather at each end

YTZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

EWR (destination) Gusts30 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2143 · YTZ → EWR

Odds over time